From September to November, warmer-than-normal temperatures are expected across much of the Central Region. Although the transition to La Niña has been slower than predicted, it is still expected to occur in the coming months. Additionally, a strengthening Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) could enhance conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic Basin this September.

Model guidance supports above-normal temperatures, particularly across the central region, with some areas in the northern plains seeing equal chances of normal temperatures due to La Niña’s influence. Dry conditions are likely from the Rockies to the plains, while other areas face uncertainty due to conflicting data, soil moisture, and potential tropical activity.