The ongoing transition from La Niña toward ENSO Neutral conditions is expected to continue through the MAM period, with neutral conditions favored by the end of the three-month outlook. This shift supports a mean zonal to southwesterly flow pattern across much of the region, although forecast uncertainty remains higher across the north-central United States. Reduced snowpack combined with the ENSO transition increases the likelihood of warmer-than-normal temperatures across much of the region, while northern areas may still experience more variable conditions.

Precipitation signals reflect a mix of lingering La Niña influences and the emerging neutral pattern. Wetter-than-normal conditions are favored across the Midwest and Great Lakes, which may support improvement in drought conditions. In contrast, drier-than-normal conditions are expected across the Four Corners and west-central Plains, with the dry signal strengthening through MAM and supporting drought persistence or expansion in parts of the Southwest.